Why We Fail To Predict The Future

Weak Signals Getting Stronger

How do you look for non-obvious trends?

What We Can Learn From Super Forecasters

Jean-Pierre Beugoms is the forecaster featured in Adam Grant’s book Think Again. He has an outstanding record in predicting the outcomes of elections. While regular pundits rated Donald Trump as a joke, with just a 6% chance of gaining the Republican nomination, Jean-Pierre gave him a 68% chance. How? By constantly challenging his own beliefs and biases.

  • Create a circulatory system for new ideas and provocations
  • Develop the capacity to prioritise, investigate, and act on those ideas
  • Build an adaptive culture that embraces continual change
  • Be prepared to constantly change your mind about what you think you know

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Innovation Coach and Co-Founder of @BromfordLab. Follow for social innovation and customer experience.

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Paul Taylor

Paul Taylor

4.6K Followers

Innovation Coach and Co-Founder of @BromfordLab. Follow for social innovation and customer experience.